Rising River Levels Expected to Recede by Midweek

Rising River Levels Expected to Recede by Midweek

Current Flood Warning Summary:

  • Deer Creek is forecasted to rise above flood stage to 10.1 feet late this morning (Sunday).
  • It is expected to fall below flood stage this afternoon and continue to recede, reaching 4.4 feet by early Wednesday morning.

Current Umpqua Region River Levels

Location Current Flow (cfs) Current Stage (ft) Flood Stage (ft) Action Stage (ft) Day 1-3 Max Stage (ft) Day 4-10 Trend Max Stage (ft)
Deer Creek - Near Roseburg 1496 7.84 10.0 8.0 7.60 5.26
South Umpqua - Near Winston 46823 19.79 26.0 22.0 22.24 12.49
North Umpqua - At Winchester 45385 16.78 18.0 16.0 18.04 8.59
Umpqua - Near Elkton 78673 26.84 33.0 30.0 30.60 25.12

For updated numbers, please visit NOAA.

Key Factors:

  1. Ongoing Rainfall: Additional rainfall can delay the decrease in river levels. Current forecasts indicate rain through much of the week, which may keep water levels elevated longer than usual.
  2. Drainage and Runoff: Saturated soils from recent rains may cause slower drainage, prolonging high river levels.

Estimated Timeline:

  • Today (Sunday): River peaks late morning and begins to fall in the afternoon.
  • Monday to Tuesday: Water levels gradually lower but may remain higher than normal due to runoff and potential additional rainfall.
  • Wednesday: Significant drop expected, nearing normal levels around 4.4 feet, barring further heavy rain.
River levels excepted to drop starting on 12/30

As shown above, the observation shows that the river levels are already falling and will continue to fall until January 1st where it will continue to remain steady from the runoff of ground water.

Monitoring:

If you're in an area near the river, take precautions until water levels fully stabilize.